Nov 14
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The United Times

United in Changing Times

Housing · Real Estate

Costly mortgages add to affordability pressure as existing-home sales decline

Existing-home sales fell about 1.2% from a year earlier in August, while expensive borrowing adds another consideration for buyers deciding whether to wait.

By Rian Keswicke · 3 min read

Costly mortgages add to affordability pressure as existing-home sales decline
Illustration · The United Times

Expensive mortgage borrowing adds to the affordability considerations facing prospective homebuyers, while sales of existing homes in August were below year-earlier levels. The pressure also extends to borrowing for a car. For those considering both commitments, the question can be not simply whether to buy, but whether taking on the financing now is preferable to keeping those plans on hold.

Sales of existing homes in August were down about 1.2% from a year earlier, according to the National Association of Realtors. That decline provides a measure of weaker activity, although it does not establish how much of the change was attributable to mortgage costs. The distinction matters: the sales figure records completed market activity, while the burden of borrowing helps frame the choices facing people considering a purchase.

Goldstein offers an example of a prospective buyer who says she has room to wait. She says she can afford to wait to buy both a car and a house. She eventually unsubscribed from real estate updates for a walkable suburb. Her experience illustrates a limited step away from following properties: ending those updates while saying that both purchases can wait.

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That ability to wait is an important qualification to her experience. Goldstein is describing flexibility over the timing of her purchases, not saying that she must complete either transaction now. Her account therefore offers a view of a buyer for whom postponement is an option. It does not establish that other prospective buyers have the same room to delay, or that everyone facing expensive mortgage borrowing will make the same choice.

For housing, the financing issue adds a separate consideration to the property itself. A prospective buyer who needs to borrow must also weigh the cost of that borrowing. The affordability question cannot therefore be reduced to interest in a particular home or neighbourhood. Goldstein’s decision to stop property alerts establishes that she ended those updates, but not whether she ruled out the suburb or retained it in her housing plans.

The August sales comparison should also be read narrowly. A fall of about 1.2% from a year earlier means existing-home transactions were below their year-earlier level; it does not, by itself, describe a change in house prices. Nor does that comparison establish whether sales improved or deteriorated from the preceding month. Those are different questions, and treating a single annual comparison as an answer to all of them would overstate what the figure shows.

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There are two distinct perspectives in this account. For a prospective buyer such as Goldstein, the stated ability to wait leaves postponement available as an option. For the market, the Realtors’ figures show sales running below their year-earlier level. Those observations are compatible, but they are not interchangeable: one describes an individual’s circumstances, while the other measures activity across existing-home sales. Neither establishes how widely Goldstein’s experience is being repeated.

The reference to car borrowing broadens the affordability context without changing the limits of the housing evidence. Goldstein says she can afford to wait on both purchases, rather than identifying the house as her only purchase consideration. The borrowing-cost issue therefore extends beyond the property search. It does not show that buying a car prevented her from buying a home, or that she had to choose one over the other; her stated position is that both can wait.

One unanswered question is whether Goldstein will eventually decide to proceed with either purchase. Her account supplies no timetable for returning to a home search, and stopping property updates is not the same as abandoning the intention to buy permanently. Similarly, the August decline cannot establish the direction of subsequent sales. The available information does not show whether prospective buyers will purchase, continue waiting or reconsider the properties they are willing to pursue.

For now, the evidence points to costly housing finance alongside weaker existing-home sales, rather than proving a single explanation for the decline. Further sales comparisons would be needed to determine whether activity remained below year-earlier levels after August. For buyers with flexibility, the decision can remain personal: whether the value of purchasing now outweighs the option of waiting. Goldstein says she can afford to wait and has stopped the suburb’s property updates, but her account does not establish when she will buy.